Working Papers and Abstracts

 


My doctoral dissertation

Title: Optimal Enforcement of Competition Law

Brief description:

My PhD dissertation deals with the problems of antitrust enforcement and deterrence of violations of competition law and falls into the field of industrial organization and competition policy. Most of the papers included in the thesis are theoretical and use tools of microeconomic theory, game theory, dynamic games, and dynamic optimization to approach the problem of optimal antitrust enforcement in general. In addition, they also deal with practical aspects of this problem. I compare current US and EU penalty schemes for violations of antitrust law and develop policy implications on how existing penalty schemes can be modified in order to increase their deterrence power.

Brief review in Dutch is available from: http://webapp.uvt.nl/fsw/spitsjohn.nb_lib.frmToonPersbericht?v_id=3919

More information is provided below.

 

Introduction:

 

Despite the recent theoretical developments in the field of antitrust law enforcement, much still needs to be done in practice by competition authorities in order to prevent collusion and price-fixing in the major industries. Although penalties were recently increased considerably and new instruments of cartel deterrence, such as leniency programs, were introduced, still complete deterrence of antitrust law violations has not been achieved. This thesis contributes to the solution of the problem of optimal competition law enforcement. We approach this problem from the angle of possible refinements of current penalty schemes for violations of competition law. In particular, we determine the optimal combination of instruments such as the amount of the fine and the rate of law enforcement, and the optimal structure and design of leniency programs. In the thesis, the main features of current penalty systems are modeled employing the tools of game theory, dynamic games, and dynamic optimization. We stress the importance of the dynamic analysis of competition law enforcement, since it captures better both the current antitrust rules and the crime process in general. Application of the above-mentioned tools allows to compare current US and EU penalty schemes for violations of antitrust law and to develop policy implications on how existing penalty schemes can be modified in order to increase their deterrence power.

 


1. Determination of optimal penalties for antitrust violations in a dynamic setting

 

Accepted to European Journal of Operational Research (2008)

 

Abstract: We analyze a differential game describing the interactions between a firm that might be violating competition law and the antitrust authority. The objective of the authority is to minimize social costs (loss in consumer surplus) induced by an increase in prices above marginal costs. It turns out that the penalty schemes which are used now in EU and US legislation appear not to be as efficient as desired from the point of view of minimization of consumer loss from price-fixing activities of the firm. In particular, we prove that full compliance behavior is not sustainable as a Nash Equilibrium in Markovian strategies over the whole planning period, and, moreover, that it will never arise as the long-run steady-state equilibrium of the model. We also investigate the question which penalty system enables us to completely deter cartel formation in a dynamic setting. We found that this socially desirable outcome can be achieved in case the penalty is an increasing function of the degree of offence and is negatively related to the probability of law enforcement.

JEL-Classification: L41, K21, C73

Keywords: Antitrust Policy, Antitrust Law, Dynamic games

Full text available from CentER Discussion paper series 2004-96  (or http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2007.05.048)


2. Analysis of the properties of current penalty schemes for violations of antitrust law                          

joint work with Peter M. Kort

Accepted to Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications (2006)

Abstract: The main feature of the penalty schemes described in current sentencing guidelines is that the fine is based on the accumulated gains from cartel or price-fixing activities for the firm. These gains are usually difficult to estimate, but they can be approximated by a fraction of the turnover. The regulations thus suggest modeling the penalty as an increasing function of the accumulated illegal gains from price-fixing to the firm, so that the history of the violation is taken into account.

We incorporate these features of the penalty scheme into an optimal control model of a profit-maximizing firm under antitrust enforcement. In order to determine the effect of taking into account "the history of the violation", we compare the outcome of this model with a model where the penalty is fixed. The main result of the analysis of the later model is that complete deterrence can be achieved only at the cost of shutting down the firm. The proportional scheme improves upon the fixed penalty since it can ensure complete deterrence in the long run, even when penalties are moderate.

Phase-diagram analysis shows that the higher the probability and severity of punishment, the sooner cartel formation is blocked. Further, a sensitivity analysis is provided to show which strategies are most successful in reducing the degree of price-fixing. It turns out that, when the penalties are already high, the antitrust policy aiming at a further increase in the severity of punishment is less efficient than the policy that increases the probability of punishment.

JEL-Classification: C61, L41, K21

Keywords: Dynamic analysis, Antitrust Policy, Antitrust Law

Full text available from CentER Discussion paper series 2004-97 (or http://www.springerlink.com/content/4430162512326843/fulltext.pdf)


3. Effects of leniency programs on cartel stability

 

Abstract: In this paper we study the effect of leniency programs on the stability of cartels under two different regimes of fines, fixed and proportional. We analyze the design of self-reporting incentives, having a group of defendants. Moreover, we consider a dynamic setup, where accumulated (not instantaneous) benefits and losses from crime are taken into account.

Similar to the Reiganum-Fudenberg-Tirole Model the tools of optimal stopping and timing games are used for the analysis of this problem. We obtain that, cartel occurrence would be less likely, if the rules of the leniency programs were more strict and the procedure of application for leniency was more confidential. Moreover, we conclude that, when the procedure of application for leniency is not confidential, in some cases leniency may increase duration of cartel agreements. This occurs when penalties and rate of law enforcement are low. Surprisingly, under a fixed penalty scheme the introduction of a leniency program cannot improve the effectiveness of antitrust enforcement when the procedure of application for leniency is not confidential. 

JEL-Classification: K21, L41

Keywords: Antitrust Policy, Antitrust Law, Self-reporting, Leniency Programs

Full text available from CentER Discussion paper series 2004-98


4. Strictness of leniency programs and cartels of asymmetric firms                                                 

 

joint work with Rob van der Laan

 

Abstract: This paper studies the effects of leniency programs on the behavior of firms participating in cartel agreements. The main contribution of the paper is that we consider asymmetric firms. In general they have different size and operate in several different markets. However, they form a cartel only in one market. This gives rise to additional costs in case of disclosure of cartel, which are caused by a reduction of the sales in other markets due to a negative reputation effect. This modeling framework can also be applied to the case of international cartels, where firms are subject to different punishment procedures according to the laws of their countries, or in situations where after application for leniency firms are subject to other costs rather than the fine itself and these costs depend on individual characteristics of the firm.

Moreover, following the rules of existing Leniency Programs, we analyze the effects of the strictness of the Leniency Programs, which reflects the possibility of getting complete exemption from the fine even in case many firms self-report simultaneously. Our main results are that, first, leniency programs work better for small (less diversified) companies, while big (more diversified) firms are less likely to start cartel in the first place given the possibility of self-reporting in the future. Second, the more cartelized the economy, the less strict the rules of leniency programs should be, while the rules of leniency programs should be more strict when the economy is not highly cartalized.

JEL-Classification: K21, L41

Keywords: Antitrust Policy, Antitrust Law, Self-reporting, Leniency Programs

Full text available from: http://ideas.repec.org/p/dgr/kubcen/200574.html
 


5. Cost Minimizing Sequential Punishment Policies for Repeat Offenders


Working paper, Free University Amsterdam 2006                                                       


Abstract: This paper concludes that, when offenders are wealth constrained and the government is resource constrained and can commit to a certain policy throughout the whole planning horizon, cost minimizing deterrence is decreasing in the number of offenses. Extending the framework of Emons (2003) to n-periods setting, we prove that for the agents who may commit an act several times, optimal sanctions are such that the fine for the first crime equals the offender's entire wealth, and the fines are zero for all the subsequent crimes. This result contradicts the widely prevailing escalating penalties imbedded in many penal codes and sentencing guidelines. In addition, analogous to Emons (2004), this scheme does not appear to be a time consistent (subgame perfect) strategy for the government in an n-periods setting. Moreover, we show that, if the government cannot commit, equal rather than decreasing sanctions will be optimal.

Full text available from: http://ideas.repec.org/s/dgr/vuarem.html      

 


6. Market Structure and Hospital-Insurer bargaining in the Netherlands

joint work with R.S. Halbersma, M.C. Mikkers, and I. Seinen


Discussion paper, Free University Amsterdam and TILEC, 2007                                                       


Abstract: In 2005, competition was introduced in part of the hospital market in the Netherlands. Using a unique dataset of transaction and list prices between hospitals and insurers in the years 2005 and 2006, we estimate the influence of buyer and seller concentration on the negotiated prices in the first two years after the institutional change. First, we use a traditional Structure-Conduct-Performance model (SCP-model) along the lines of Melnick et al. (1992) to estimate the effects of buyer and seller concentration on price-cost margins. Second, we model the interaction between hospitals and insurers in the context of a generalized bargaining model (Brooks et al., 1997). In the SCP-model, we obtain that the concentration of hospitals (insurers) has a significantly positive (negative) impact on the hospital price-cost margin. In the bargaining model, we also find a significant negative effect of insurer concentration on the bargaining share of hospital, but no significant effect of hospital concentration on the division of the gains from bargaining. In both models we find a significant impact of idiosyncratic effects on the market outcomes, consistent with the fact that the Dutch hospital sector is not yet in a long-run equilibrium.

JEL-Classification: I11, L1, C7

Keywords: Competition, Market Structure, Hospitals, Insurers, Bargaining

Full text available from: TILEC Discussion Paper Series 2007-006      

 


7. To Protect in order to Serve, adverse effects of leniency programs in view of industry asymmetry

joint work with Daniel Leliefeld


Working paper, Free University Amsterdam and TILEC, 2007                                                       


Abstract: This paper studies the application of leniency programs. An analysis of the structure and design of leniency programs and existing literature raises a new question: Are leniency programs effective, in the sense that they deter cartels from formation, in asymmetrical markets? A game theoretical model, which allows for asymmetry and predatory pricing, is used to provide an answer. A leniency program does not always lead to a breach of trust. We find that, in certain industries, leniency programs are unable to break collusion. They may have the adverse effect in the sense that they strengthen cartel stability or may even lead to abuse of market power. A relatively large firm can use coercion to remove the option to a smaller firm to self-report to the authorities, thus removing the risk of prosecution posed by the program. In industries characterized by a certain degree of asymmetry in market shares and high sunk costs this is an even more likely scenario. In view of this limitation, a number of policy implications are provided in the paper. Policies aimed at the removal of the threat of retaliation need to be considered in order to convict and deter these kinds of cartels.

JEL-Classification: K21, L41

Keywords: Antitrust Policy, Antitrust Law, Self-reporting, Leniency Programs

Full text available from: TILEC Discussion Paper Series 2007-007      

 

 


8. Maximal Cartel Pricing and Leniency Programs

joint work with Harold Houba & Quan Wen

Working paper, Tinbergen Institute, 2008

Abstract: For a general class of oligopoly models with price competition, we analyze the impact of ex-ante leniency programs in antitrust regulation on the endogenous maximal sustainable cartel price. This impact depends upon industry characteristics including its cartel culture. Our analysis disentangles the effects of traditional antitrust regulation and the leniency program. Ex-ante leniency programs are effective if and only if these offer substantial rewards to the self-reporting firm. This is in contrast to currently employed programs that are therefore ineffective.

Full text available from: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-120/1